Trump Impeachment Odds Hit 68% on Polymarket
Betting traders are piling in on the idea that President Trump will face impeachment before his term ends.
As of April 7 2026 the crowd-sourced probability on Polymarket stands at 68 percent for yes. The odds have jumped 17 points in recent weeks with about 36 thousand dollars in trading volume.
The market resolves yes if the House passes at least one article of impeachment by simple majority anytime before January 20 2029.
Skeptics on X were quick to push back calling it wishful thinking drama bait or meaningless noise since impeachment requires actual congressional votes and has failed to remove Trump twice before. Many replies dismissed the number outright with comments ranging from “never happening” to “who cares at this point.”
Prediction markets love volatility but history shows the gap between betting odds and political reality can be wide especially when it comes to removing a sitting president.