MUNDUBILE WILL WIN ELECTIONS, FACKSON SHAMENDA
I have noted with concern the circulation of false statements by UPND media personalities, bloggers, and affiliated media platforms claiming that I predicted the defeat of Hon. Brian Mundubile in the 2026 General Election.
I wish to state categorically that these claims are false, misleading, and a deliberate misrepresentation of my position.
My position remains exactly as stated in The Mast of 21 July 2026, where I made it clear that I foresee the opposition forming the next Government. That position has not changed, and I stand by it.
It is therefore regrettable that certain individuals and media platforms have chosen to distort my statements for political propaganda and to mislead the public.
I am currently considering taking appropriate action against those responsible for publishing and circulating these defamatory statements and false attributions regarding my political views.
I urge members of the public to disregard the fabricated reports and rely only on my official statements as published or issued by me.
Fackson Shamenda
Former Member of Parliament and Former Minister of Labour.
Tell us how he will win and we shall tell you how he will lose.
Mundubile is losing na data ilipo. HH is shooting on the target while Mundubile is shooting in the dark. It can only make sense if he is campaigning for 2031 and not 2026 because mathematically, Mundubile is already eliminated, no matter what he does, he can’t win, not even using Lungu’s corpse or videos. HH is going into this election with a very big advantage, it’s like he has already won 3 penalties when the match is just beginning and has scored all of them. Here is how;
1. About 15 or 17 UPND Candidates (MPs) remain unopposed meaning that UPND has already 15 seats before any vote is cast while NRPUP has zero.
2. UPND has fielded Candidates in all the 226 contested Constituencies while NRPUP has a deficiency of about 76 seats.
3. HH still has a privilege of nominating 10 MPs after he wins on 13th August, 2026 meaning he already has 15+10=25.
Then besides the three penalties, UPND is likely to score big countrywide implying UPND will have a lion’s share in the proportional representation but out 40, I will only get 10. Then the picture will look like this 10+15+10=35. As already alluded to, Mundubile is shooting in the dark while HH is shooting on targets. For example, in Southern Province there are 1,000,000+ registered voters and 29 seats which are up for grabs. But Mundubile has only 4 Candidates in Southern Province and has not effectively campaigned in Southern compared to how vigorously HH has campaigned in the Northern Circuit. If there are people who not lazy when it comes to voting, it’s the people of Southern Province hence all the 29 seats are likely to go to UPND with almost all the 1 million plus votes given to Hakainde Hichilema. Mathematically, the picture will now look like this 10+15+10+29=64. And when it comes to proportional representation, UPND is likely to grab about 25 seats out of 40 and that will cumulate to 89 seats. Those who still remember in terms of percentage, in 2021 Northwestern Province was the highest in country, they gave UPND and HH almost 100%. In 2026, the pattern won’t be any different, so all the 19 seats are likely to go to UPND. And if that happens, the picture will be 89+19=108 seats for UPND. The overall deficit for NRPUP is about 78 seats and 108+78= 186 seats. Then Northern, Muchinga and Luapula this time cannot be dominated by Mundubile, votes will be shared among Kalaba, HH and Mundubile and this time around, UPND will do better in those Provinces than it did in 2021. To sum it up, the three swing Provinces, Lusaka, Copperbelt and Eastern will be won by UPND. So according to my estimation here, Mundubile is likely to get only 46 contested seats and 15 proportional representation seats giving him a total of 65 seats. The two gentlemen are just excited with crowds but the numbers on the ground are telling us something else. The gaps in some Provinces are just too big; for example, Lusaka and Copperbelt, the deficit is 5 in each while in Northwestern it is 11, Southern 25 and Western 19. With this kind of data, they can’t win, whether they are using charms or they expect some miracle to happen, they have already lost it.Economic development reports