By Nkonkomalimba Kapumpe
UPND wins 2026. The breakdown below reflects Tonse’s best possible performance, and they still lose. Mark this and let’s come look at it on 16th of August.
This forecast is grounded in: historical patterns, voter registration data, traditional turnout, ground sentiment such as rallies and social media, campaign issues, and the Candidates.
I have done public election predictions and PVTs from 2011 to 2021, and only missed the 2011 prediction. I was on the Presidential PVT teams for RB in 2011 and ECL in 2015 and 2016.
In 2019 I predicted PF would lose in 2021. Its not boasting for me saying I seldom miss political predictions , it’s just a fact.
I promise you, you will call me a prophet. The worst Tonse get 35% and the worst for UPND is a rerun; if Harry and Fred do well. I dont like reruns, it can be new unknown territory.


