Iran’s Missile Arsenal Under Pressure as Launch Capacity Declines
According to assessments from Central Intelligence Agency and Mossad, Iran’s ballistic missile capability is facing increasing constraints despite still holding a sizable stockpile.
Estimates suggest Iran began the conflict with approximately 2,500–3,000 ballistic missiles, with around 1,000–1,500 believed to remain operational after extensive usage and strikes on storage facilities—indicating roughly 50% depletion.
However, the critical issue is not just the number of missiles, but the loss of launch capacity. U.S. assessments indicate that 50–70% of Iran’s mobile launchers have been destroyed, significantly reducing its ability to conduct large-scale salvo attacks.
This shift suggests that while Iran retains strike capability, its operational flexibility and intensity of missile campaigns may be substantially limited moving forward.